The figure above indicates the forecasted high in orange (with error bar denoting the range of ensemble forecast members), average high for this time of year in orange (dashed line), forecasted low in blue (with error bar), average low this time of year in blue (dashed line), and forecasted wind speed in purple. Note that the wind speed forecast is sustained wind (not gusts), and it is based on only one model (not an ensemble).
Rain will likely develop over the next couple of days as low pressure develops over the Southwest. Expect about 0.5” of rain accumulation from this storm. We may also see some rain/snow mixed on Monday night to Tuesday, although little or no snow accumulation is expected.
A weak disturbance will move across the state on Wednesday night – Thursday, bringing some high clouds, but then another larger storm system is on tap for the weekend with the potential for more precipitation.
Met Mail is an unofficial weather discussion and forecast transmitted once or twice a week via e-mail by the Embry-Riddle Department of Meteorology (http://meteo.pr.erau.edu/). Embry-Riddle offers an undergraduate bachelor-of-science degree program in Applied Meteorology. Please spread the word to all potential qualified candidates!
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Official National Weather Service forecast